Probability Formula:
From: | To: |
The multiple attempts probability formula calculates the chance of at least one success when an action is repeated multiple times with independent probabilities. It's commonly used in gambling, risk assessment, and statistical analysis.
The calculator uses the probability formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the complement of the probability that all attempts fail (1 - probability of all failures).
Details: Understanding cumulative probabilities helps in decision making, risk assessment, and evaluating the effectiveness of repeated attempts at achieving a goal.
Tips: Enter the probability of success for a single attempt (between 0 and 1) and the number of attempts. The calculator will show the combined probability of at least one success.
Q1: Does this assume independent attempts?
A: Yes, the formula assumes each attempt is independent with the same probability of success.
Q2: What if my probability changes between attempts?
A: This calculator assumes constant probability. For changing probabilities, more complex calculations are needed.
Q3: How accurate is this for real-world scenarios?
A: It's mathematically precise for independent events with constant probability, but real-world conditions may vary.
Q4: Can I use this for very small probabilities?
A: Yes, but with extremely small probabilities and few attempts, the result may still be very small.
Q5: How does increasing attempts affect the probability?
A: More attempts always increase the chance of at least one success, but with diminishing returns.